Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.024182 0.026100 0.028099 0.030340 0.032785 0.035374 0.038324
2025-11-30 0.020855 0.023580 0.026572 0.030110 0.034187 0.038751 0.044261
2025-12-07 0.018682 0.021859 0.025485 0.029946 0.035306 0.041568 0.049473
2025-12-14 0.017023 0.020472 0.024533 0.029691 0.036106 0.043867 0.054036
2025-12-21 0.015860 0.019529 0.023963 0.029756 0.037177 0.046436 0.058976
2025-12-28 0.014790 0.018587 0.023287 0.029577 0.037851 0.048461 0.063262
2026-01-04 0.013934 0.017840 0.022775 0.029532 0.038635 0.050608 0.067774
2026-01-11 0.013254 0.017261 0.022425 0.029642 0.039587 0.052984 0.072692
2026-01-18 0.012625 0.016703 0.022053 0.029676 0.040402 0.055177 0.077448
2026-01-25 0.012122 0.016278 0.021824 0.029871 0.041425 0.057681 0.082770
2026-02-01 0.011493 0.015641 0.021262 0.029555 0.041680 0.059076 0.086510
2026-02-08 0.010865 0.014970 0.020613 0.029068 0.041640 0.060013 0.089579
2026-02-15 0.010375 0.014489 0.020233 0.028984 0.042244 0.062015 0.094557
2026-02-22 0.009872 0.013965 0.019766 0.028750 0.042610 0.063684 0.099144
2026-03-01 0.009431 0.013509 0.019370 0.028591 0.043070 0.065509 0.104087
2026-03-08 0.009003 0.013047 0.018940 0.028350 0.043372 0.067084 0.108699
2026-03-15 0.008688 0.012737 0.018718 0.028411 0.044146 0.069442 0.114776
2026-03-22 0.008337 0.012355 0.018365 0.028241 0.044527 0.071164 0.119851
2026-03-29 0.008041 0.012043 0.018103 0.028198 0.045104 0.073230 0.125660
2026-04-05 0.007799 0.011804 0.017940 0.028303 0.045925 0.075747 0.132440
2026-04-12 0.007556 0.011550 0.017742 0.028335 0.046616 0.078066 0.139007
2026-04-19 0.007361 0.011364 0.017641 0.028520 0.047575 0.080903 0.146736
2026-04-26 0.007075 0.011018 0.017267 0.028220 0.047661 0.082169 0.151527